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Oil Hits Four-Year High Amid US-Iran Strike Risk, Tech Earnings Drive Market Turmoil

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Asian shares fell Thursday as oil prices surged to four-year highs due to fears of U.S. strikes on Iran. Tech giants’ positive earnings provided limited relief for investors ahead of Apple’s results.

European stocks are bracing for a lower open, with the pan-regional stock futures gauge down 0.8%. Investors fear higher rates from the European Central Bank and Bank of England later in the day after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates steady.

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The Fed showed its most divided decision since 1992, with three board members voting to drop easing bias. Outgoing Chair Jerome Powell confirmed he would stay on as a governor for now to defend the institution’s independence.

Oil prices spiked, causing MSCI’s Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan to slide 1% but still set for a 15% gain this month. Japan’s Nikkei fell 1.4%, while South Korea’s KOSPI hit another all-time high before turning lower.

China’s blue chips were flat, and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index dropped 1.2%. The Iran conflict remains uncertain, with central banks waiting to see the outcome before decisive steps are taken.

In Asia, Wall Street futures reversed earlier tech-driven gains. Nasdaq futures were down 0.3%. Google parent Alphabet’s shares rose 7% in extended trading, while earnings from Microsoft and Amazon.com raised hopes for Apple. Meta Platforms disappointed, raising its annual capital spending forecast for AI infrastructure, causing its shares to fall.

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Global bonds took a beating after the oil spike and hawkish Fed, fueling a sell-off in Treasuries. U.S. Treasury yields rose to a one-month high, while the dollar gained broadly, topping 160 yen. The Japanese currency fell more than 2% since the Iran conflict began on February 28, with investors betting against intervention.

Benchmark US Treasury yields climbed 1 basis point to 4.4298%, having jumped 6 bps overnight to 4.434%. The yield on 10-year Japanese government bonds rose 4 bps to 2.500%, and Australia’s 10-year government bond yields jumped 6 bps to 5.066%.

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